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Andrei Martyanov: Why America Can't Win This War?

Dialogue Works Highlights

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[0:00]with one of the latest news about a new fighter jets been shot by Iranian air defense system, which was F-18.
[0:36]This hit was done, as we've learned from the Iranian media, by one of these air defense system that they keep on their shoulders.
[0:36]But I believe, and again, you have to understand, they do not really go often to the kinetic kill.
[0:36]So and that's why you see those shrapnels, you know, so it might look from the way as if nothing happened.
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[0:00]with one of the latest news about a new fighter jets been shot by Iranian air defense system, which was F-18. And here is the footage of that. Yeah.

[0:36]It seems Andrei, later on in in an ocean or somewhere, he just crashed. This fighter jet was crashed in the ocean. I don't know what happened, but what was happening, Andrei? This hit was done, as we've learned from the Iranian media, by one of these air defense system that they keep on their shoulders. Yeah, it's man pads, yeah. Most likely it's the older versions of Strela. But I believe, and again, you have to understand, they do not really go often to the kinetic kill. They have the warhead, it's an infrared the guidance itself is homing devices infrared, and you have the essentially the bag of the all kinds of the shrapnel and that's basically, you know, it guides itself towards the most heated part of the aircraft, which of course, is the nozzles exhaust of the engines. So and that's why you see those shrapnels, you know, so it might look from the way as if nothing happened. But reality is that it basically creates a lot of holes let's put it this way in the fuselage and it can damage obviously critical systems. So F-18 is not the type of aircraft which can take you know this punishment and still continue to operate and of course, A10 Warthog, for example, it's a slow but it very survivable it's it can take a lot of punishment let me tell you. So the same goes for example for Russian Su-25, which is called frogfoot in NATO. But obviously with the newer missiles, I think it was the older missile the newer missiles especially like Igla and obviously Verba. Verba is the newest one you can put the it can take down pretty much anything, okay. So I don't know what is going on in terms of the man pads, but I am absolutely positive that Iran has very many of them, enough to sustain for for years, maybe. You know, so and we don't know what Russia and China provide but today Mr. Pezeshkian the president, expressed the gratitude to Russia for standing behind Iran. So and this is like, oh, okay. So, who knows? But yeah, it's anybody who thinks that United States can operate close air support in uh in Iran or near Iran. Well, man pads are there and they will be taking down pretty much most of the aircraft which will try to do this. And so that's what we see and this is not the first, that's not gonna be the last. And especially if they decided that somehow they want to do the boots on the ground, although after today, article in today's article in New York Times. I already posted it on my blog that the uh US army fights now remotely works remotely, never heard anything like this. Okay. What what does that mean, Andrei? What does I don't know. I said that it's beyond it defies, as as Karl Marx stated. You know, history repeats itself first tragedy, or tragedy, and then as farce. We are beyond farce. We are in the state of I don't know what it is. It's a complete basically, panopticon. And, uh, worker remotely, yeah, redeploying, uh, more cavalry battalion from the, uh, cellar of the basement of the, uh, UAE Hilton to the, uh, Kuwait Sheraton. You know, it's I don't know. I mean, there are some things which defy I mean, any kind of the common sense let alone military common sense, let alone the professional military view on the war. And but that's actually the indication of how badly, uh, United States and Israel, uh, losing it and they're losing it catastrophically actually. Andrei, in the last two or three days, we had Donald Trump various times talking about how is the situation, but I instead of playing that clips of Donald Trump mentioning how grateful he's winning. I have a some sort of, you know, special video that shows how Donald Trump is drastically winning everything. Here is the video. much. We're going to win so much. You may even get tired of winning, and you'll say, please, please, it's too much winning. We can't take it anymore, Mr. President. It's too much. And I'll say, no, it isn't. We have to keep winning. Yeah, he's literally saying the same thing right now when it comes to the war. Yeah, I mean, uh, he is, uh, I don't know what state of the mental mental state he is in. It's definitely not healthy, definitely not healthy. And when you look especially at his, uh, Minister of War, Secretary of War, Pit Hexa, the guy is really, he needs to get, you know, serious treatment with all kinds of the serious pills, you know, to probably get him in shape because they, they sense some do know that it is catastrophe for the United States, and, uh, some people say it's Suez moment. Well, Suez moment is a kind of, you know, doesn't even, uh, convey the scale of the, uh, historic, uh, I mean, catastrophe. And which didn't start. Iran basically, is reading the last rites for the, uh, you know, the globalism as it existed before, and yeah, we can say already the most terrifying thing for Washington did happen, is the end of the petro dollar, period. It's over. Not like, oh, yeah, it's over, it's coming. We knew it was coming, but this is like, it's that's it. Here it is. This is de facto. And now the jury essentially, because, uh, everybody tries to, uh, buy oil for Yuan, some buy oil for Rubles. in other national currencies. And yeah, uh, the latest one I heard, it was Spain, which was allowed to go through Hormuz Strait. So obviously we knew Chinese and Russians were absolutely sailing and they are huge supporters of Iran, as we all know. Uh, now then suddenly India, you know, uh, whatever happened between India and Iran, and now Spain joined them. So Spain is a rich guy in Europe, you know, the oil and whatever. So but yeah, it's it's a catastrophic situation for Trump and the only thing he can do now is manipulate and not even real markets. He doesn't manipulate. They don't understand Trump and those people in Washington. They don't understand what real economy is. They operated on the from the point of view of making money on the speculation on the Wall Street, you know, those futures paper things, paper gold, paper oil, paper gas, what have you? It's useless. I mean, the reality of the still, the what I read today that still the actual physical oil is being sold up to $170 per barrel. So and yeah, he tried to manipulate it yesterday. He lies all the time. He needs to, uh, his buddies from Wall Street made some money and, uh, you know, what, somehow keep market, but he can't, even today, it still went up and it will continue to go up and, uh, you cannot explain this to people there, uh, who grew up with thinking that Wall Street is a real economy and making money is somehow is detached from the actual product. And so here we are. And Iran proved it and that's it. Uh, people not going to be buying, uh, oil in dollars anymore. They've to you know, the biggest vassal, uh, of United States in Southeast Asia, who literally just basically leak, uh, American boots. Philippines. Philippines now talking to Russia, they need energy from Russia. So guess what? Well, Russians will say, okay, if you can pay in dollars, sure. I mean, but Rubles or Yuans, we take Yuans. That's fine. Rubles, fine, you know. Uh, so and, uh, the whole world, Trump's world is collapsing on him and he is definitely not in a healthy mental state. Andrei, the whole, you know, the agenda on the part of Trump administration when they started this war was basically air power and Marine. And going in, the air power so far from what we've seen, you know, various fighter jets were shot and you know, were hit by Iranian air defense system, which is costly for the United States. And Marine is just far away from the Iranian coast. Joe Ford is just not working anymore. Abraham Lincoln is far away from the Iranian coast. And how to how do you see this situation with these two fronts with these two tools in the hand of their American army against Iran. I wrote books about it that United States doesn't know what real real war is. Uh I'm not talking about even American public, which is absolutely oblivious to the fact what real war is because, uh, United States leaves, you know, in the, uh, separated by the world by two oceans and never experienced. I and I'm not talking this ridiculous argument. Oh, yeah, we have civil war. It's nothing compared to what is happening in the world outside. And so, and so is US military. Uh, they are you cannot explain this to the military whose cultural and doctrinal DNA is expeditionary force. They don't understand real ground operations, combined arms operations of a massive scale against capable enemy. United States didn't fight a capable enemy since Vietnam. I mean, beating the, you know, uh, semi-literate retarded Saddam's army, corrupt or mighty air forces of Taliban, together with mighty Taliban air defense. So yeah, they got high on their own supply, but reality is that all these ideas which have been instilled in the United States armed forces, uh, on the ground wise, on the by the Blitzkrieg generals, who wrote essentially doctrines for NATO, all those Nazi and Wehrmacht generals from, you know, Erik von Manstein to, you know, Hauser, to all kinds of them who were officially employed by the US Army. And so, and there is the this doctrine, you know, what they, every five or so years, uh, United States Navy, which is glorious Navy, with an incredible history, the obviously, demonstration of the courage, professionalism. So, uh, United States has no reason not to be proud, you know, of its great Navy. But the problem is again, uh, life changed so much, and those doctrines were either all kinds of the modification of these Blitzkrieg and air power, and the experience which they got in the European theater of war, uh, and even in Vietnam, you know, uh, about air power, which is really not real experience in a sense that it doesn't reflect the fight with the nation, which is capable, which is large, and is ready to fight back. And it's, you know, air land battle, air sea battle, and then of course from the sea concept, it's all these amphibious operations. It is all good for third world, pardon my French, carb crab holes, which has the population and armed forces which cannot shoot back straight. Iran is not the third world actually. So, that's what many people do not understand it has it's massive industrial capacity, and it has the military industrial complex. It has the fairly competent, uh, basically military, and apart from the fact that if you take a look obviously now at all, uh, majority of the Iranian leadership and I'm not talking about IR IRGC, I'm talking about even just regular people, they are many of them combat veterans, you know, they went through the, uh, obviously, Iran-Iraq war and Iraq was supported by whole world from Soviet Union to United States and Europe. So, and Iran still endured. So, what can I say? I mean, these are people of a completely different intellectual level, different spiritual view of the war. So, you look at this, you know, clowns like Kellogg or whatever, you know, those American generals, who lost every war they participated in, uh, they don't real don't understand actually what is going on. They don't have evidently this what is called moral, spiritual, and, you know, intellectual organ, the toolkit, as you correctly stated, which allows them to see through because, uh, obviously United States Army has a brave and courageous and competent people, but anybody will tell you, and you can ask Danny Davis, you can ask Doug McGregor, that essentially, once you get to the level of colonel and to the general, uh, generalship, the only thing you need to know is how to be political, how to, you know, kiss ass. And that's what you do. You are not progressing as the military professional combat leader because nobody needs that, you know. In Washington D.C., uh, they know nobody wants to attack them, really, okay? So, uh, it is the relaxed atmosphere in a very many respects. And as a result, whatever they, uh, competencies United States had in terms of the military technology, doctrine, especially fighting doctrines, it's all obsolete. You and again, I wrote nine years ago the first book, which is called losing military supremacy, where I already stated that nine years ago, I said, it's all fake basically, you know, it was grossly over, you know, overestimated, grossly overrepresented. You have Hollywood, you have accessory Hollywood, which is the propaganda machine for the US military. But reality is table of equipment organization and equipment, TOE, of the US armed forces, is simply not designed to fight real war. Simple as that. It's obsolete. It's stuck in the, well, late 1980s, early 1990s. And now when you see everything what is happening, including what is happening in Israel, which has been pummeled, I mean, in, you know, blown up to smithereens, uh, I just showed the, uh, interview the, uh, with the Israeli TV, when a, uh, the mayor of Margaliot, which was essentially wiped out by, uh, Iranian and Hezbollah forces, uh, he basically crying, you know, in the life on live TV, because and he said, Bibi, send us help. Well, there's no help, that's the problem. They don't understand it that it's it's that's it. United States and United States have been together with NATO have been demilitarized for the last four years during special military operation. And suddenly, here we are. And they cannot sustain anything. They cannot sustain operation, they cannot get required force, let's say to fight Iran, to really invade Iran and achieve some kind of the political objective the scale of the, uh, regime change, you know, they remove ayatollahs and things like that. Ah, well, you will need about two million people. Uh, can United States furnish this army? No, it can't. And it's it will be absolute army anyway. Yeah. We know that the United States so far tried with the fighter jets, with the marine altogether. Right now, Putin 12,000, let's talk about 20,000 soldiers, you know, in the Persian Gulf. How is that going to help the United States? No, it's not gonna help the United States. It's gonna kill very many, uh, American military personnel. And very many. Uh, again, uh, if you read any, uh, army doctrinal publication in the of the United States, fill manuals, especially operations, FM 3-0 zero, uh, everything in there is about, yeah, overwhelm the enemy. Uh, bring on our long-range fires. Now you have to explain to those people that, uh, long-range fires, as it's written and it was basically presented, doesn't work like this anymore because your enemy also has long-range fires and very often they are much longer and you you know, United States doesn't have real viable air defense. Period. Simple as that. What do they have? I mean, you look attentively at what what is short at? Oh, you get striker, you get Humvee stick on it for stingers. Oh, yeah, we have short, uh, it's not gonna work against anything. Okay. So, and, uh, it might work against some helicopter maybe and, you know. So, but drones, uh, drones are producing very small infrared signature, you know, and so, uh, and same goes and then what do you have? Oh, the next thing is NASAMS. What is NASAMS and it that which they, it's basically Frankenstein of air defense. You take the A AIM-120 AMRAAM, which is used basically, it's the air-to-air missile. You made out of it a Frankenstein, stick it on some platform, get some sensors to this platform and declare it a viable, uh, you know, air defense complex. It's not. I mean, it fails most of the time. And again, it's just one of them. Patriot. Patriot is not we cannot even talk seriously, but we know that now United States demands from Ukraine to return the balance whatever is left there of Patriots. That tells you everything you need to know. And how they gonna defend their assembly areas? How they gonna defend their strong points? How what? Are they thinking that they can build into their battalion or company columns and attack in the terrain of Iran? I mean, really, just I have a bridge to sell to those people. So they don't know what they gonna do. They don't have experience. They don't understand how you can command force, which requires assembly as I already stated. It's between probably at least one and a half and two million people to get into such country as Iran and achieve some kind of the political objectives there. What will be the casualties? They will be horrendous. Vietnam will look like the stroll in the park compared to this. And somebody finally stated that, oh, yeah, all those things may look as Gallipoli rather than. And Gallipoli, let me tell you, within 10 months, uh, 56,000 KIAs, uh, there were 130 or 180,000 wounded for Entente forces. Almost 8,000 have been taken prisoners by Turks. So if they want this result, I don't know what's gonna happen in United States. Do they want to reconstitute the draft? There will be revolution in this country. Okay. So, and that's the whole thing. There is no, there are no good options. Trump, he never understood that Russians were giving him for a about half a year, some off-ramps in Ukraine. He didn't understand, he didn't take it. He failed miserably there. Now, he is in the position that what are you going to do? You he been and we know who he is. We know who controls him. Israel controls him. They need escalation. Escalation with what? The first question is, with what? Does United States have the required force which any normal person, with any, you know, military professional, with operational mind will say, we don't. We have not not enough. We just, so you need to mobilize the country. Ah, good luck doing this, you know, and so what do they do? Do they want to commit war crime against own troops? To put the guys into the Qeshm Island or Kharg, you know, and think that they can, uh, you know, hold on to some piece of land? They they will be dying every day in large numbers. And what are you going to do? I don't know, but it's Trump administration, it's not Trump. It's Netanyahu administration essentially and as I already stated yeah, I've stated many times, I will repeat it again. United States doesn't have US Congress. It has Knesset 2.0. Period. So, and it is basically, well, basically written already uh it's not in the sand, it's written on the wall now. We can see there some writings, but yeah, it's you can go and take a look, uh actually at, uh, let me it's it's it defies belief, you know, and yeah, it just leaves you speechless and, uh, but yeah, Trump is winning tremendously. Yeah, I'll, Andrei, Axios reported that Pentagon is preparing for massive final blow of Iran war. They're talking about, you know, ground forces together with large-scale bombing campaign. And, we know that the United States so far tried with the air fighter jets, with the marine all together. Right now, putting 12,000, let's talk about 20,000 soldiers, you know, in the Persian Gulf. How is that going to help the United States?

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