Our May 2026 Stock Updates

[0:00]The one thing I wish, you know, Graham would do at some point and I wish a lot of people would do publicly is talk about having that higher risk, higher reward, big money bucket, separate account. Yeah. where they are investing in options, right? And they are investing with leverage. Maybe they're in the triple leverage ETF, they're, maybe they're taking, you know, they're buying options on high conviction trades like what I did with Amazon the last few weeks. If you bucket that money totally separately and just designate a different type of money to go into that bucket, knowing that it could theoretically get wiped out, I think everyone needs to have that. And it's just frustrating that we we still don't think that way as retail investors. We still lump all of our money together and we're afraid to take these big risks. Because guys, what happened with me and Amazon the last few weeks, as I've been saying, you get one call right like that. I I did it last year with Nvidia, remember, and Robin Hood, you do that one time in your life, you make one big call that you're willing to put the money in super leverage and you get it right, and you become a top 1% investor over your entire life just from getting that one call right. That's how big of a difference maker it has. And and it could be years before you get that confident around a particular company and a time frame. But you want to have money bucketed for that moment in time, so that you can go all in. Because like, you guys know what I did on Amazon, it was insane. It was insane, and your timing on that was just miraculous. And not because you knew anything or had any, you just you are just had a very strong conviction that Amazon should go up because of where we are in the AI cycle and you just went all in. Well, guys, when when the market hit its bottom and it was the most, like, the worst of the worst weeks, I don't remember what was it a few weeks ago, a couple weeks ago. My account was down like 40%, and I went all in on Amazon options. My Amazon options, I think, were up to as much as 40% of my entire full portfolio were Amazon options. So I was prepared to lose another 40% of my liquid net worth. But you had this check coming in from Collecticon. You you took risk, you took risk when you had a very high likelihood of having a replenishment event for any losses. But even then it would have been like half of that check if I'd let it, but it went huge. It was it was a non-money. Okay, so tell us where where you think Amazon goes from here. We're we're gonna talk individual stocks. The the chat has been blowing up saying, you guys are stop talking about collectibles, tell me about stocks. So let's let's go. Amazon, where does Amazon go from here? I still love it. I love it just as much as I loved it at $198 where I kind of went all in. I went all in more like two something, 205, and then more 215. It's at what, 260 now? 258, I don't know. Almost to 300. I don't care. That's what Suesu wants to know. I'm all in. I'm all in. I'm not playing. 263, 43. What I do, guys, is I continue to roll up my options. You're not still that deep, like 40% of your portfolio in Amazon options. You've pulled back. What I'm doing is I'm rolling my options up. So I'm I'm selling my options, I'm taking the profits and then I'm taking some portion of those profits to purchase new options at a higher strike price, obviously, because Amazon keeps going up. So I've essentially taken the gains. Those are my gains. I'm not losing them. I'm taking a part of the profits to re-up in new Amazon. What would you just ballpark your current Amazon option percentage out of your total portfolio? I would say 5% right now today. All right. I'll be able to sleep better at night knowing it's only 5% and not 40%. But I could get excited tomorrow and it could go up to 10 or 15%. I know. That's that's what worries me. All right. What are your what are your thoughts on Robin Hood near term? Love it. Love it. Oh, oh, oh, near term, I don't have any, like, super strong thoughts on it, like this week or next week. Love it long-term. I love being able to buy it down here. I went deeper into Robin Hood at 70. I think I just picked up some more calls this morning. I just want to be heavier Robin Hood, but not for the week or for the month. This is like, I don't know when Robin Hood's gonna pop again. It could be six months from now. I don't care. I want to have a bigger position, Robin Hood. You're in for the long-term on Robin Hood. I'm in Robin Hood for the long-term. Let's talk about AMD. Yeah, I have AMD. It's part of my AI sector trade. I have a handful of companies like Micron, AMD, I don't I think I accidentally sold my Intel. It makes me sick. Because I like I was running out of money and I needed money cuz my margin was capping out on that Amazon trade. What is the dirtiest name in my portfolio? Intel. And then it just rocketed. I had to pick something and I picked Intel to sell and of course Intel's flying. I have AMD. Listen, great. Like it's part of my sector, my AI super trade, but it's not the one I'm going heaviest in on. Micron, I love I love all of the uh memory companies. Did you guys, have you can you see Sandisk keeps just going crazy. Oh Rigaku, the Japanese company we did a show on. Dude, it's almost doubled. It's crazy, dude. This is the imaging company in Japan that basically is a healthcare company, but they have imaging equipment that they're repurposing to check the circuitry in AI chips before they head to the data center. They're one of like two companies in the world that does this. We did a whole episode on this a month or two ago. And since we did that episode, the stock is up like 70%. Astonishing. Unfortunately, I couldn't get leverage on that because it's in a global account, you have to transfer into yen, there's no options, you can't do margin. But I'm astonished. A Jianshu Dong, who is our close friend who tipped us off on that trade. He did this like, I don't know, 60-page report on Rigaku. He really nailed it. Jianshu nailed it again. He's been on fire. He's he's our Bloom energy guy too. So, speaking of Bloom energy, dude. Yeah. It exploded off of that off of that expanded contract with Oracle. This is what we've been saying. It's it's up 55% in the past month. But this is what we've been saying. Bloom Energy is in negotiations with every hyperscaler. So, like, when are they going to when's the meta announcement? When's the Amazon announcement? When is the Google announcement? Like, they're bringing to market simply has to be fully proven. And with each announcement it gets a little bit more proven and easier for the next company to actually take them seriously. Because I think that that their biggest problem was kind of people not believing their tech and now Oracle and then the stock booms up. And if we get another announcement, I just expect that that chart should go up with a jolt every time there's a new announcement. And if not, I don't know what we're doing. The issue with Bloom is it's it's a super volatile stock, right? So any bad news, any even By the way, Bloom went down to what, $75 a share on quote bad news that we knew was BS. That's why we doubled down on Bloom. But it doesn't matter if it's BS, if there's some rumor or some misinterpretation of the market or Bloom, people will take that stock down so violently. It could drop by 40% in a millisecond. So if you're invested in Bloom, you need to be ready for that type of volatility. But wow, has Bloom performed for us, man. That is just been one hell of a call this year. There's anything new with Sphere, which is another one that in the past month is up 13%, up 430% in one year. You are in this heavy for uh the Wizard of Oz trade. Are you still in it? Anything new? Um now I think I'm pulling my account up cuz sometimes I don't even know, but I believe I am fully out of Sphere. I'm fully out too and kind of regretting it. Well, you know, like I said, here's the deal, guys. It was a social arb trade. And we entered Sphere when there was a massive information imbalance in the company, and we exited when the rest of the world learned about what we already knew. Okay? So, since then, the company has gone up like 400%. And that's what being a social arb investor is all about. Does it mean that Sphere can't continue to grow from here? Absolutely not. The company could but but that's a different trade. So I need to now understand what new information do I understand about Sphere that the market hasn't appreciated or is unaware of for me to get back into Sphere. Because I'm not buying Sphere as a fundamental, you know, investor or as a technical investor. I only buy and sell things as a social arb investor. So that's why I'm out of Sphere. My thesis is now well known, and the stock price. Same listen, Bloom, I still think Bloom is really misunderstood by a big chunk of the market. I think Bloom, if they continue to execute, if, I think there's a lot more upside to Bloom if the company executes because I do think they will be a primary beneficiary of the power trade for the AI super cycle. So I don't want to sell sell my Bloom yet. Let's talk about a stock. We we talk about our winners. We always also address our losers. Let's talk about TAC TransAlta. It currently three-month chart on that. It's down two and a almost 3%, one month, it's down 5%. One year still up 44%, but we were not in it for that rise. But it's up 3% today. It is, yeah. Well, TransAlta, they got killed by a couple things. One, the we were investing in TransAlta because of the inevitable move of data centers to Alberta. And TransAlta would be a primary beneficiary as one of the few companies that has excess power in Alberta to partner with data centers, right? Then they hit a major delay with their data center deal, the administration here in the US from my Intel is pressuring all the hyperscalers not to move into Canada. They want them here. So that could present additional delays going into Alberta. Three, they had an exceptionally warm winter in Alberta, which kind of hurt their energy situation there in terms of pricing. So it was kind of like the perfect storm of bad news. I'm not selling because I still believe I I I think I have exited part of my position because I needed to exit partially out of a lot of positions when my account got destroyed last month. But I feel that it is an inevitability uh that data centers will get into Canada and Alberta specifically. So I'm holding the majority of my position in TransAlta. It kind of sucks that we're not participating in this market move right now, but I'm not selling for now. I I don't know how long it will be with this administration before they lose some of that rhetoric on having to build just here in the US, but I think it's an inevitability. So it could be two months from now or 18 months from now before that story finally gets to play out. I'm hanging on to it and as a as just a tracker for knowing uh where this is since we first talked about it, it is down 14% because that's what I'm down in it.