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Find the Best Swing Trades Before Everyone Else — Do This First

Breakout with Motilal Oswal

10m 30s2,251 words~12 min read
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[0:02]Hey guys, what's up? Mera naam hai Nirvair aur main hu ek NISM certified research analyst. Aur aaj ke video mein hum baat karne wale hain aise teen momentum screeners ke bare mein jo aapke trading universe ko bahut chhota kar sakte hain. Because dekhiye guys, NSE aur BSE mila karna Indian stock market mein 7000, 7000 se bhi zyada listed stocks hain. Kya aapko seriously lagta hai ki aapko saare un stocks pe attention deni hai ya nahi? Kyuki kuch stocks aise honge jinme volumes bahut kam hongi. Kuch stocks jo circuit limits mein hai aur kuch stocks jo bahut bekar hai. Woh companies aisi hain jinko hume dekhne ki bilkul zarurat bhi nahi hai. Toh ye teen momentum screeners hume aaj hamara trading universe bahut chhota kar denge, jiski wajah se hum keval peak of the peak stocks mein apna dhyan denge aur unko track karenge aur uske baad unmein entry karne ki koshish karenge. Toh dekhte hain ki ye teenon screeners kaise badhte hain. First screener jiske bare mein hum baat karne wale hain aur woh personally mera favourite hai, woh hai India near 52 week high. But start karne se pehle main ek cheez bahut clear kar dena chahta hu. Hum log yahan par koi undervalued bets nahi dekh rahe, hum log yahan par koi penny stocks nahi dekh rahe ya hum log koi aise stocks nahi dekh rahe jo do din mein double ho jaayenge. Hum dekhna chahte hain aise stocks jinmein institutions apne footprints bana rahe hain aur sizing lene ki koshish kar rahe hain. They are trying to make their mark and show ki woh involve hona chahte hain in stocks mein. Kuch aisa hai in stocks mein jo unhe samajh mein aa raha hai ki woh future ke liye achha ho sakta hai and that's why they are getting in. Because guys, momentum attracts momentum. Agar aap ek aisi cheez ke upar chadne jaane rahe ho jo already momentum mein hai. And if you find a good spot to enter then aap usko carry kar sakte ho aur apni positions build kar sakte ho aur institutions ke sath place ho sakte ho. Jiski wajah se woh stock aapko achha profit de sakta hai. Toh guys, start karte hain apne teen swing trading momentum screeners ke sath. Sabse pehla screener jiske bare mein main baat karna chahunga, is known as the high relative strength or the near 52 week high screener. And this one is my personal favourite. Toh chaliye dekhte hain ki kaun se filters hum ismein add karte hain, jisse hamare 7000 stocks pure stock market ke reduce hoke around 300 se 500 ke beech mein ban jate hain. Sabse pehli condition jo hume daalni hai, is that hume sirf NSE listed stocks ko dekhna hai. Because NSE aur BSE stocks mostly overlap hote hain that's why I'm selecting only a single exchange, which is the National Stock Exchange. Coming on to the second screener is that because mujhe penny stocks nahi chahiye toh main sirf ₹10 se upar ke stocks ko hi check karunga. Price above ₹10. Coming on to the third filter that we do, is that the price should be above the simple moving average of the last 21 days. Because agar price isse niche hai toh stock zyada tez momentum mein nahi hai. And the next one, ye bhi EMA related filter hi hai, yani ki moving average related filter, jo hume ye bolta hai ki ye stock momentum mein hona chahiye in that sense that iska jo 50 days ka moving average hai, 21 days ka moving average us 50 days ke moving average se upar hona chahiye, which is a good sign for us. Coming on to the next filter that is there is the market cap filter. But jo most important filter aa jata hai hamare pass, which is that ki is stock ka price jo bhi hai. Woh apne 52-week high ke 0 to 20% ke beech mein hona chahiye aur iska reason aisa kyun? Because dekhiye market mein ek concept hota hai, leading stocks aur lagging stocks. Kuch stocks aise hote hain jo bahut beaten down hote hain aur kuch stocks aise hote hain jo market ko lead kar rahe hote hain. Jo stocks market ko lead kar rahe hote hain na, woh kahin par chhipe hue nahi hote. Woh stocks already apne all-time highs ya 52-week highs ke aas pass hote hain aur 0 to 20% ek sweet spot hai. Jahan par agar aapko stock kuch basic banata hua dikh raha hai toh aap usmein ek acchi entry point lekar usko enter kar sakte hain aur wave ko ride kar sakte hain. Guys aap log bilkul stress free raho sirf learning pe focus karo because in teenon swing trading screeners ke links main description mein dal dunga aur aap inhe easily access kar sakte ho. Agar aapke aur bhi koi questions hain you can put them in the comments below and I'll personally answer to each of them. Toh guys humne abhi dekha first momentum screener, the high relative strength screener. Jo hume dikhata tha jo stocks hover kar rahe hain apne highs ke pass and are leading the market. Coming on to screener number two, Powerplay Screener. Aur ye based hai Mark Minervini aur jo ki US ke ek bahut bade investing champion hain, unke concepts par based aur unke filters par based. Toh ye screener hume kya dikhata hai? Ye basically hume aise stocks ko dikhane ki koshish karta hai, jinhone recent last three months mein ek aisa strong push diya hai, ek aisa strong jump diya hai jo retail participation de hi nahi sakta. In stocks mein usually agar aap jaakar dekhoge toh FIIs ya DIIs ne apne stakes badhaye honge. Kyuki ye stocks already last three months mein 20% up ja chuke hain. Haan ji, yahan par main ek myth break karna chahunga. Hum logo ke andar ek aisa mindset rehta hai ki jo cheez cheap hai use buy kar lo, sasti cheez ko buy kar lo and we feel very good. But then when it again starts falling we cling on to hope because woh cheez sasti hai for a reason. Market mein ek bahut important saying hai. Jo mehnga hai woh mehnga hota jata hai aur jo sasta hai woh sadly aur sasta hota jata hai. Toh ye jo screener hai na, ye hume exactly woh mehnghe stocks jo just mehnghe abhi abhi recently huye hain, unko pakadne ki koshish karta hai. Aur hum is filter ke sath ye koshish karte hain ki hum in stocks ko screen karke dekh paayein ki kya fundamental triggers aa rahe hain aise stocks mein jo FIIs aur DIIs ki stakes badh rahi hain? And then maybe we can filter out and try to enter these stocks. Toh dekhte hain ki in stocks ke kuch basic filters kya hain. Sabse pehla filter, the price should be above the 50 days moving average. Ab 50 day moving average hi kyun, 21 kyun nahi, 200 kyun nahi? Because 50 day moving average guys, medium term momentum ko filter out karta hai. Agar price apne 50 days of moving average ke upar hai toh uska structure bullish hai. Aur agar 50 ke niche hai toh structure short term ke liye bearish jata hai. Coming on to the second indicator jo hamare previous indicator se bhi same rahega ki hum NSE listed stocks ko dekhenge. Now is indicator ka sabse important part, performance of last three months should be greater than 20%. Main isko break down karta hu fir se. Iska matlab ye hai ki last three months se aaj tak is stock ne already 20% ka move de diya hai aur ab woh kahin aas pass apne highs ke consolidate karne ki koshish kar raha hoga. Ya fir apne high se thoda niche hoga but ek strong thrust ke sath upar gaya hai. Toh guys, screener toh yahan par khatam ho jata hai. But ek optional filter jo maine add kiya hai, jisse ye screener aur sweet ho jata hai, woh ye hai ki hum dekhenge ki price apne last one month ke high ke 0 se 3% ke beech mein hai. Toh woh ek tight consolidation phase mein hai. 20% ka move de chuka hai apne last three months mein. 50 EMA ke upar hai. Kaafi cheeze align already ho chuki hain. The last thing to align is that we have to find a good entry spot and enter the stock. Toh pehle the 7000 stocks jab humne ye video start kiya. First momentum screener dekha, stocks reh gaye kuch 300 se 500 ke aas pass. Second momentum screener dekha, Powerplay Screener. Stocks reh gaye kuch 200 se 300 ke aas pass. Kya aap dekh rahe ho ki acche filters lagane se kaise aapka screening universe itna chhota ho sakta hai, jisse aap time toh save karoge hi karoge. But aap keval strongest of the strongest stocks mein ho market ke jinmein DIIs aur FIIs ki stakes badh rahi hain. You are not in stocks that the retail is holding on hope. You are in stocks jo prove kar chuke hain ki they are strong and they want to go up. Something is changing in them aur institutions woh dekh rahe hain. Toh pehle do screeners complete ho gaye. Aate hain apne third aur last screener par jo hum aaj discuss karne wale hain and this is very exciting this one is very exciting. One month high. Toh ye screener basically hume kya batata hai? Ye hume ye batata hai ki aaj ke din kisi bhi stock ne apna one month high toda hai. Last one month mein apne highest point pe hai. Woh stocks is screener mein aayenge. Now you'd be like Nirvair hum ye screener dekhe kyun? Isse hume kya pata chal raha hai? Agar kisi stock ne apne last 30 days ka high touch kiya hai na aur woh aaj usne high banaya hai it definitely means that something is going on. Ho sakta hai ki hume hint bhi na ho but maybe koi news aane wali ho maybe kisi big institution ne stock kuch karna chah raha hai. Something is going on. Ek halchal si machi hai jo is stock mein aa rahi hai and it is getting some buying because it is hitting a new one month high. Now agar main categorise karu hamare in teenon screeners ko toh probably main is screener ko last par rakhunga. But main screener ko check zarur karunga. Because ye mere pass ek lauta aisa tool hai jo mujhe early hints the earliest hint of strength dega. Because agar main ek stock ko tabhi pakad lu jab woh apna one month high banane ki koshish kar raha hai toh main usmein ghuskar maybe us wave ko kaafi lambe samay tak ride kar sakta hu. Because agar meko early entry mil jayegi toh mere pass bahut zyada bada advantage hai. And if some news is coming then that adds to it. Toh dekhte hain ki is screener mein humari kya kya conditions hain. First condition hai ki stock should hit jaise maine aap logo ko bataya, stock should be hitting its new one month high. Hum again exchange wali condition hamari teenon filters mein same rahegi ki hum NSE listed stocks dekhenge aur yahan par maine ek basic volume filter aur laga diya hai. Aur mera last filter jo yahan par laga hua hai, this is the ADR or the Average Daily Range which is greater than 1%. Toh basically mujhe bahut hi slow moving stocks nahi dekhne. Mujhe aise stocks nahi dekhne jo ek din mein 1% ka bhi up ya down ka movement nahi dete hain. And you can even bump this up to 2%. This will further reduce your trading universe. Toh summarize karte hain. Toh aaj humne dekhe teen screeners. Number one, high relative strength. 0 se 20% from ATH stocks jo market ko out perform kar rahe hain. They are eliminating noise and they are leading the markets. Screener number two, Powerplay. Recent momentum. Woh stocks jo already move kar chuke hain. They are already in motion. Institutions are already accumulating them and they are building their positions. Number three, new one month high. Fresh action, halchal, early breakout signals. This one will help you catch moves early before they become obvious. Teen filters, ek focused watchlist. Yahi hai process ka foundation. Ab yahan par kaam khatam nahi, yahan par kaam start hota hai. Iske baad aata hai watchlist banana. theek hai, ab humne stocks toh dekh liye but position sizing kaise karni hai? Stop loss kahan hai, in stocks ko watchlist mein filter kaise karein? Kuch stocks clean rahenge, kuch stocks choppy rahenge. Maybe kuch stocks aise sectors mein hi nahi hai. Maybe kuch stocks aise hain jinka sector bhi momentum mein hai. Toh un un stocks ko specifically kaise pakadna hai? Ye hum next videos mein dekhenge. Aur agar aapko aaj ka ye video useful laga ho. Maine aapko kuch help kari ho toh ek kaam zarur karna aur apne kisi ek dost ko ye video share kijiye jo aaj bhi abhi bhi randomly 7000 stocks of the Indian markets mein se kisi ek stock ko dhund raha hai aur apna winner dhundna chahta hai. Help him out and lead him to the way to find winners. Tell him to be with strength. That's it from me guys. I'll see you in the next one.

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